rule enforcement effectiveness: U.S.^sg

Opening example — illegal immigrants. Singapore is able to enforce. Landlords are scared of confiscation if they provide shelter to an illegal immigrant.

I have the impression that U.S. schools and subway rules are not meaningful if not enforced. However,

* Look at GS and other private organizations and how they enforce their private policies
* Look at the military. Must have effective enforcement.
* Look at NASA.
* Singapore also has some high-profile failures of rule enforcement
** Pasir Ris mrt worker death

** cable car stuck in mid-air

myth|American students less serious about practice@@

At primary and high school levels, I agree numerical standard is higher in East Asia. (Not sure about Europe, India, other parts of Asia…) Doesn’t mean at this level American students are weaker overall. Look at communication skills, innovation, creativity. Beyond academics, they might have other strengths over the Singapore students.

At the uni level, very different contrasts. Most top universities are in the US. More innovation. More research output. More ground-breakers.

Professionally, the Americans (often of Asian and East European ancestry) I have met are not weaker than the Chinese at all ! So the Chinese competitive advantage built up in secondary school is completely lost.

Just one example- very few Chinese open source contributors!

In some competitive subjects, practice is key, so the American students also commit to practice, but often out of motivation rather than pressure and “national pride”. Examples — music, arts, dance, athletics, basketball.

job pool size SG^c2c estimates

Suppose financial IT jobs across U.S. locations (Chicago, NC…) is 600 “units”, then

Among them, H1b-friendly jobs would be 60 to 120 including W2 contracts or FTE ..

Among them, c2c jobs would be 20 to 40. Outside financial, IT, there could be many times more but I am unsuccessful so far.

SG financial IT jobs would be 10 to 20 (30? I doubt it.)

myth: Chinese students are stronger]foundation skills

Arts at pre-U level – Chinese students work hard, but this subject isn’t like math, so massive practice may not be so effective. It’s not true that China students do better than non-China students.

sports at pre-U level – Chinese students aren’t stronger!

English at pre-U level — China (and East Asian) students at my time used the same method as in math, but were not stronger than Africans or other Asians. So the Chinese method seems to work only for Math.

Physics — is not same as math. Chinese students have less of an advantage. Theoretical physics is 30% math.

Programming at pre-U level – no such advantage. China kids have stronger math foundation, but US kids are not weaker in programming

comp science — is like pure math, but many non-Chinese students are interested in this field, so this is more attractive to non-Chinese students than math, so the advantage of Chinese students is reduced.

Other subjects at pre-U level — East Europeans have a similar standard in math. Some U.S. students also do well in math and science, often as good as China students. I assume these U.S. students work hard too.

Above university level – The advantage of China students in math or other subjects, if any, is not visible to me. I feel their strong foundation in math is a smaller factor at this level.

Sports – Chinese athletes train hard. In some sports they do well but in many sports the other countries probably train harder. Look at Joseph Schooling’s training regime.

Soldiers (similar to students!)– US soldiers train no less. They too need to carry weapons and run for hours.

if I had not tried U.S…

If I had not gone to and experienced US in my early 30’s …

… I would most likely stay in Singapore for good. Perhaps would try China or Australia, but it’s unlikely with kids. The older the heavier the inertia.

… I wouldn’t even understand the meaning of tech specialization. Not needed in Singapore. …… I’m less likely to become local expert on Java or threading

… I would spend years between Unix administration and java/php/python dev. I would remain broad-based. I might even become a technical manager in a small shop, likely earning below $10k.

… I would probably try some even smaller start-up but may not take off.

… I would envy those older hands-on guys in US, Japan, Europe as I see myself in them.

… Kids would heavily influence my career direction but I would still have to make important career decisions based on the mega-trends, my situation (narrowing… stroll…)

… I would probably try pre-sales, like Guo Qiao.

… I would likely stay hands-on since management doesn’t look like my strength.

… I would try finance tech in Singapore, but probably fail, since the bar is too high.

… I would probably more seriously consider a Plan B — research/teaching, if my dev competitiveness stops growing.

U.S.^SG, 5 advtg each

Master copy? 610610 open. Nothing to do with knowledge pearl, and nothing private?

There’s significant costs to either choice — painful. Many people (including most of my Singapore friends) are put off by the pain so they stay with the familiar, the comfort zone, watching it deteriorate. Young people are more likely to accept change, adjust to change, embrace and exploit opportunities. Some middle-aged fathers in my situation also have this courage and flexibility. I guess these people are self-confident, resourceful, adaptive.

==US drawbacks   -ie-  SG advantage

  1. wife difficult to find job — sense of purpose, self-worth, independence, her own life…
  2. grandparents — can’t see them so often
  3. drugs and bad influences — ##drug risk4boy: specific strategies
  4. [c] 3 big burn rate items as described in my analytical letter to Melvin US compared to Singapore: high cost@living, rather few advantages #Melvin
  5. — minor items:
  6. wife has no friends, can’t visit/call her parents easily
  7. Long commute…(driving) will eat into my available time, with profound implications, though most colleagues got used to it. It’s more of a culture than a national malaise.
    1. However, as mentioned in U.S. work-from-home opportunities, regular remote working is possible in many teams
  8. fewer leaves – childcare leaves. However,
    1. if perm in the US, can take fake medical leaves when needed. I think overall, US workers work about the same number of days as Singapore workers.
    2. encashability — suppose you don’t want to use up that many (like 20+6) leaves and would rather “sell” (OCBC). Perm job offers limited encashability whereas contract offers 100% encashability. Once a while, weekends are also encashable if contractor required to work
  9. wife taking care of 2 kids alone – what if falling sick or behavior problem? But in Singapore, in-law collocation brings big problems too.
  10. [$] sick leave (family member?) Bad if contracting.  Need to work from home sometimes.
  11. wife more likely to reach “breaking point”
  12. street safety, gun violence – wife’s concern
  13. pain of moving home (with lots of furniture), but I could possibly rent a room for myself (persuade wife to accept it)
  14. [$] medical bx – not “free”  if contractor. Need to buy bx.
  15. immigration issues. complications and concerns,  risks about GC
  16. [$] home repair – have to DIY like Xia Rong, as professional service cost is too high. Be optimistic — I could learn it.
  17. bullying
  18. Chinese language education for kids
  19. pain of finding new school, as most US primary schools are probably not great
  20. stadium, swimming (boy)…I must exercise somewhere else – always possible. I actually did, in commercial gyms and HDB playground. What if we drive?
  21. inconvenient – healthier food, grocery shopping (unless we drive), …
  22. before we take up driving, perhaps less family fun activities, since wife feels more at home more familiar in SG
  23. [$] involuntary furlough + rate cut
  24. [$] rental cost until we buy a home, but with some effort SG home can rent out.
  25. piano for kids? If interested then easy to continue.

[$=extra cost or reduced income in US, which is comparable to the income decline in SG]
[X=This is my real experience, not wishful thinking.]
[C=contract roles]
[B=big picture]

==US over SG

  1. job – age friendly for a hands-on developer (esp. in financial IT).
    • ** Singapore – about 5k as a regular old developer or teacher. This is my long-term Fallback, base plan.
  2. job – abundance in finance IT. SG – dwindling pool of high end jobs. See SGP^Wall St job mkt – elitism^commodity
  3. job [B]  – big picture: mgr^specialist: for management careers, Asia offers many advantages but for specialists US offers many advantages. See posts on “narrowing career path”, “specialist”
  4. kids – academic pressure on kids and parents. in Jul 2016 I seriously felt that the earlier I air-lift him out of Singapore the better. See https://btv-open.dreamhosters.com/2016/07/01/lucky-boy-doesnt-have-to-join-the-paper-race/ (Kids adjust faster at younger age.)
  5. job [B] – long-term and deep confidence that I can support my kids financially till they graduate. For that, sooner or later I need the green card to work in the US as a graying techie.
  6. job [BX] – “easy jobs” (hands-on) pay much better in US than SG.
  7. — minor items
  8. kids – diverse development opportunities.
    1. Some kids suitable for SG education, others suitable for US.
    2. As Miao puts it, can give him 2 options. 
    3. SG offers limited choices if kids have special interests or talents (examples?).
  9. job [B] – With a technical mind, I do better in the US. See post on technical mind. As Ken Li pointed out, if you enjoy hands-on work till an old age, then no need to worry.
    1. job [B] – on WC and WS, tech create significantly higher value than in SG
    2. job [B] – outside WC and WS (if I ever need to) generally pay higher than in Singapore, because US culture is respectful of tech and age-friendly. More choices. See the php point below.
  10. job [C] – excellent contract market – no bonus no promotion more frequent change even though no medical no leave
    1. [CX] small but tangible chance of premium contract rates without excessive stress. I’m pretty good at interviewing. This is one of my core strengths.
    2. [CX] contract roles are funded by projects and require less struggle with existing codebase. See recrec blog
  11. job [X] – those “specialty” jobs as I described to Miao –  more innovative, more theoretical, less mundane… probably suit me.
  12. job – work from home a few days a week.
  13. kids – $75k national service bond
  14. kids – higher chance for renowned US universities. Globally, higher education has more resource concentration in the US. US universities continue to attract global talents. I think top 20 universities are better known than Singapore universities. Easier to get in if he’s in the US system
  15. job – wife could perhaps take on professional jobs — probably well above 60k.
  16. job [X] – core teams, rather than peripheral teams (like the OC job). More appreciated.
  17. job [B] – research as my final career – world class research organizations and research jobs. See separate blog post.
  18. job – php/mysql can also pay well, in New York or West Coast
  19. job [B] – as I get older, I might decide to specialize on some less crowded field. Very limited demand in Singapore.
  20. job – possibly higher stability and lower stress and risk of “breaking point” knowing I can easily find another job after the current one.
  21. Could buy multiple properties in low-cost locations for investment
  22. job – West Coast – a real alternative to Wall St. Even if you don’t go there, WC keep WS tech salaries high.
  23. job – with a fall-back career path (as an aging hands-on guy) –> confidence to try something adventurous. After I came back to SG I became scared and self-restrictive in my career choices, because semiconsciously I felt my seat on this luxury boat is precious. Once I exit I can’t get back in.
  24. job – Small but fighting chance to develop my other interest … in analysis, insight, strategy etc. Might be my forte. Singapore has very very few such roles and too selective.
  25. job – quant roles. higher chance of utilizing my UChicago credentials
  26. job – At old age, unemployment benefits + CPF Life
  27. job – possibility to find an innovative technology I believe in. I have a risk taker inside me. In Singapore, such roles never pay close to finance IT.

## charms@U.S. over SG

(semi-consciously, I tend to play up the adv of SG and play down the adv of US…) This is a biased view of nice things about US… Feel good about the prospect@US…

Above should move into post about “US^SG”

  • spacious homes, possibly with garden
  • high rental yield esp. with strata lease
  • job: I don’t feel (like in Singapore) left behind by increasing number of high fliers who were once my peers. This subconscious and irrational sense of inferiority is deep-rooted, pervasive, insidious. It’s something to rationalize away if I stay in Singapore. No such painful feeling if in US.
  • job: i feel needed, in-demand, respected
  • job: I feel tech IV is my game. No such game in SG
  • more places for vacations
    • more places for hikes
    • more nature
    • winter vacations
  • name brands cheaper
  • winter sports
  • culture of outdoor sports
  • communication style is simpler and more natural
  • free movies
  • can drive — some people really enjoy it
  • There’s a chance I could help kids get a job in finance or tech, if he wants to
  • broader perspective for the growing mind
  • kids can more easily go to Europe or Asia. Somehow Singaporeans are not venturous.
  • 4 seasons… not so hot all year round. Important to boy and grandma
  • cheaper milk
  • buy cheap books online — to build up my tech advantage
  • buy and return anything
  • U.S. is more of a reading society

price-tag numbers in U.S.^SG

Hi Guo Qiao,

You asked an interesting question “Look at the numbers on price tags in US. Higher or lower than Singapore, ignoring currency?”

Transport — is a simple comparison. i don’t drive. New York Public transport “price figures” are lower — $76/month covering subway and buses. If I drive, fuel is cheaper, after currency conversion.

Telecom — friends use low-cost VOIP phones at home but I’m not sure. Mobile airtime is higher.

Broadband — can be lower — as low as $15/month for DSL.

Rental — is the biggest component (perhaps 10-30%) of total monthly expenses. My wife and I choose low-end, but safe, convenient locations. The “price number” is very routhly the same to SG, $700 -> $875 -> $700 -> $550 for a couple.

Medical — comparison is complicated by medical insurance and the huge variety of treatment options. I feel overall “price numbers” are higher. However, pregnancy/maternity can be cheaper — one-time cost of $10 from conception to delivery, everything else covered by insurance.

gadgets — Electronics and computer gadgets have lower price-tag numbers.

Brands — Famous fashion brands are cheaper, even after converting to SGD.

For clothing, food, stationeries, household items, I buy low-end but usable, clean stuff, often in $1 shops.

– Fruits and vegetables can, in special places, be cheaper, even after converting to SGD.
– pizzas, burgers, bread, juices, dairy, frozen food are cheaper, even converting to SGD.
– eating out — higher, because Singapore has such a hyper-competitve market of hawker centers, coffee shops and food courts.
– fast food — lower
– chinese food — higher

Computer books — lower

Haircut — higher, but can be $8 in New York Chinatown.

myth? American customer service less efficient than SG@@

See other posts on American efficiency.

Overall, a wealthy city state (I guess HK …too) is often saturated with service providers. Standard of living and standard of service is higher than a big country like the U.S.. In the U.S., I would say the cheaper service providers tend to give poor customer service. In Singapore, even the cheaper ones are fine.

I feel the large service providers in the U.S. tend to have complicated policies or services, so the associates may not be well-trained.

Lawsuit culture – the service providers may be more risk averse.

–Some of the more efficient service providers:
United Healthcare
Blue cross
GS
BofA and Citi – not so much waiting

The government service level is much higher in SG, but how about other countries? This could be SG’s preeminence.